Donald Trump has no idea what has hit him, and it’s a joy to watch

You know what the cool thing is? Those of us who were wrong for one reason or another will actually about it. We don't pretend we were right the whole time. We don't pretend it just didn't happen.

Hindsight being what it is, I'm almost wondering if the timing was planned in advance. Biden already told us he'd be a one term president. If in 10 years they came out and said "Yeah, that was the plan from day one but we couldn't tell anyone" I would absolutely believe it.

I'm glad everyone feels this way, I do too. I thought with Joe we had pretty solid chances of winning, but now with Kamala I think we're going to win by a lot more than Joe won by last time around.

The Democrats will nominate George Clinton before they nominate Hillary again.

I love how Trump's treatment of the Kurds gets a free pass from those protesters.

Don't forget boogaloo fellas and local cops who have been taken in by some kind of propaganda and left-wing useful idiots who got all spun up on internet nonsense to think that the best way to help the Palestinians is to make sure Trump gets elected. I hope not, but the convention has the potential to be a fuckin atom bomb of colliding toxic forces.

Biden seems to be going all in for Harris, but according to the AP, the DNC still hasn't updated their paperwork to reflect Biden dropping out, so it could very well end up a shit show.

I hope it's a major shit-show. I want to see how Harris handles Gaza.

How about addressing the ongoing support for genocide, instead of blaming it on the people protesting it?

The big danger with Biden wasn't people switching to Trump. It was people not voting at all. Democrats realized that would hurt down-ballot candidates, too.

I don't think we have to wait for that. Biden was 100% losing, now Kamala at least has a chance.

I remember writing that the Vietnam was was a terrible mistake and someone came to tell me that it was a noble cause and a moral victory.

Even then, the error % on polls is high enough that Trump could be ahead instead.

Polls post their calculated error %. If they could be off by like 5% in either direction, then that’s what they say. And if the poll shows Trump losing by 2%, with a 5% error, that means Trump could win by 3%.

Every single reputable poll that has been published shows a Trump victory within the margin of error.

There are two whole months in which things can go wildly off the rails.

It’s astonishing how long the US election cycle is. There’s longer until the next US election than the entire campaign here in the UK, yet it’s all I’ve heard about for the past three years.

Can you guys not just chill the fuck out?

This would suggest that the polls indicated that Hilary was more popular despite Trump going on to win the popular vote. This did not happen. The majority of Americans dislike Trump and he lost the popular vote and never had an approval rating over 50%.

However, there's a lot of reporting on polls that operate like the popular vote, despite the popular vote not really mattering.

The actual assessment is that the electoral college just doesn't reflect/represent the majority of Americans, and it never really did.

Wait, that's what "they" all say?!

Honestly, I think this is one of the many reasons the hard right hate mail-in voting. There is less time for them pull off their typical rat-fucking dirty tricks if people already mailed in their votes.

The establishment media wants Trump to win, don't fool yourself.

The "liberal media" wants low t to win.

I literally laughed aloud. Thanks, mate.

Please tell me he said this.

I think Trump is accustomed to thinking his spouses are lesser beings that exist only to bolster his image and serve at his pleasure, and he probably harbors deep feelings of disdain for all of them that he can't express publicly.

So for him it totally tracks to be married to a type of person that you hate.

And Trump's wife, mother, and grandfather are and were immigrants, but it doesn't stop him from hating immigrants. That type of inconsistency isn't an issue for him, so I imagine calling Harris an antisemite is perfectly reasonable to him.

Hell, Hillary even kept Henry Kissinger around while campaigning Somehow thinking that was a good idea? Basically a hello America, look at this war criminal I am good friends with, let me talk at length about how amazing this war criminal is. To say she was out of touch would be a bit of an understatement.

100%. Fuck political dynasties.

The energy around Clinton was different, even most dems weren't thrilled with Hillary and she was unpopular with undecided voters, meanwhile we know and have seen the threat that is Trump, and Harris is fairing better so far.

We'll see of course, but it's not as similar as it might seem if you're just saying "Woman vs Trump is the same"

Well we've certainly reached hell to find out.

Wouldn't be sure:

• Clinton suffered from an overconfident base, that might not have shown up at the voting sites as they assumed it was in the bag. After 2016, some of those voters hopefully learned a lesson
• Clinton suffered from a lot of bitter Sanders supporters. This time there was no big 'other' candidate people considered to have been cheated out of.
• I know at least some people not crazy about any 'dynasty', and Clinton was mostly remembered by her relationship to Bill. Sure she was Secretary of State (no one cares) and NY senator (which was seen as weird, out of nowhere she was suddenly a NY political figure despite no particular affiliation with NY before).

Circumstances are different, and I don't think people were specifically excited over Hilary. I think some were excited about "a" woman candidate, but not really Clinton in particular.

Hilary lost because she sucked major ass. I didn't vote in 2016 because fuck political dynasties, and the DNC did everything it could to prevent Bernie from getting the nomination, which unfortunately worked. Being less young and stupid, I probably would have voted for her if I were in 2016 again. I would have hated it though, just as I would have hated voting for Biden but would have done so. I'm not particularly excited about Kamala but she's definitely a lot more palatable with SO much more appeal than Hillary or Biden had.

The vast right wing conspiracy literally had decades to create a false narrative around Hillary, though.

"TFW you get shot (at) and it's not even the biggest political story of the week"

Or when the NY Times stops doing puff pieces on Trump or his supporters.

China and Vietnam seem to be doing pretty well as counties. China is markedly more Authoritarian than Vietnam (which is more unionist/laborist), but both are providing livability to their citizens.

Vietnam actually has less homelessness than the US.

Canadian, not my fight. Our liberals ain't doing so good

Today is an all time high on slightly right leaning RCP, and a slight rebound on 538(But not to 12th/13th/15th levels). More like 16th or 11th evening. RCP tends to lag a bit on D rises and vice versa for 538 so we'll see. Still suggests the overall strong growth trend passed and we're nearing a ceiling. Not a bad ceiling, a winning ceiling, but it's there.

More people need to be taking about this. The only way to stop it is to shine as bright a light as possible on it.

There is already cheating with gerrymandering and reduced voting areas in specific places in many places, so even if you see lots of activity that suggests a major win for Harris, vote anyway to cover those whose votes will be suppressed. That we even have to plan for that in a country that touts voting as a right is insane.

Can confirm

General Mattis has entered the chat.

I didn't know it was already a thing. I assure you i made that up on the spot. If someone else already made the joke, then i didn't know. But im glad im not the only person who thinks it's funny.

Now, that's not fair. Conservatives offer more than just antivax misinfo.

They also have misogyny, racism, xenophobia, homophobia, transphobia, anti-education, climate denialism, billionaire worship, war-mongering, domestic terrorism cheerleading and so much more!

You say that as if Trump, as the Republican nominee, would do anything better with Israel