As Trump and his spinners suddenly appear uncertain of victory amid last-minute shifts in the polls, the head of a Democratic Super PAC explains what must happen now for Harris to win.
I'm an American living in the Netherlands. The Dutch just elected a "conservative" goon named Geert Wilders several months ago. His rhetoric has been eerily similar to what's coming out of the UK, Germany, France, Canada, and Australia. Hell, Meloni in Italy has roots in the OG fascist party. They're getting too comfortable.
From what I can discern through my news apps (Associated Press and Reuters, these days), Palmer and Dutton are quite a vintage of proper cunts, but I argue the entire anglophone world is inundated with these authoritarian cocksuckers.
With sincerity, I hope that in your next election they're shoved into the trash compactor of history along with all the other bitch-made invertebrate right-wing lunatics that are pissing in everyone's coffee across the globe, just as we (hopefully) will do so with the Orange fucker today.
Actually, most of us are not. But that silly Electoral College we have....makes it so that Democrats have to win by huge margins just to break even on that and on things like representation in the House.
Technically it's the other way around. The size of the electoral college is determined by the size of the House plus the Senate.
Now, the House was meant to increase in size as the population increased.
Now, since the mechanism for that increase wasn't spelled out in the constitution, there were heated arguments every 10 years over the new maps, but it came to a head in 1921.
Long story short, the permanent apportionment act of 1929 set the size of the House at 435 members. We've added two states since then, and the US population has tripped. But still it's 435.
Repealing that one law would fix several problems.
This is more about me and my skewed perspective than it is about Americans... but it's easy to get the impression that amongst every group of 10 seppos there are 5 hipsters and 5 MAGA-cap-wearing idiots. Logically I know that this is false but it's hard to supplant this image.
A while back I started watching a youtube channel about 4wd recovery or something in texas. They just seem like cool normal people, I'd be stoked to meet them while "wheeling" or what have you. The thing is, I'm pretty sure they would be Trump voters just because of where they are.
Would it be more accurate to suppose that maybe 2 thirds of people every where are just kind of normal people who aren't as obsessed with politics as I am, but they do tend to line up behind whatever party their friends, family, and forebears have?
I've yet to get a clear answer on how they correct for the fact that no one answers the phone or wastes time talking to pollsters for free. I keep reading that " they take it into account" but not the methods used.
Tbh, a Trump presidency just presents too much fuckery. I don't even really like Kamala, but I'm more comfortable with what the US looks like after a term with her than with what Trump put forth.
This is a vote in avoiding a very obvious detriment to our country.
Maybe he should do another speech where he talks about shooting people, throwing people in jail and about how much a pile of shit this country is. That seems to be working well for him, gaining him some votes. Maybe he should dig deeper into the racism and xenophobia, it’s what got him his highest numbers in the poles, right?
According to conservative relatives there was no coup, only bad players.
I’m so sick of living in a malignant narcissist’s alternative reality. Can we go back to a time where half of us don’t play along with and encourage the delusions of mental illness? Pretty please?
Hopefully the current president won't be as pathetic as the one who was in the Whitehouse the last time the fascists tried to overthrow the government.
Living in a red state this is how I thought of it, even if my vote is wasted at least maybe the world can see a majority (even if it's slight) of Americans voted against trump numerically even if he wins.
I sincerely hope to God that’s true, America deserves better than the oligarchy trash taking over it. The real fight begins after this election, the Supreme Court needs an overhaul and the electoral college needs to go
TBH, I feel like there's an oligarchy controlling both parties. I voted for Harris, but I think I just voted for the less bat-shit crazy side. The billionaires are still going to get richer, corporations will continue to consolidate, middle-class will keep dwindling, and common people will keep getting poorer and have less say.
Dems win in areas with greater populations, which is why they have to listen to the voters. You’re right though, but tbh it’s a balancing act. I am the type to believe in “healthy” corporations, so there’s that. Uncontrolled and unregulated entities will always seek to centralize power and resources, doesn’t matter what type they are
He is scared and coming across like a bitter asshole. The mic deep throating would have been arguably "funny" but the whole mood was sour because all he was really doing was bitching and whining about them not setting up his mic properly. Surely even Trump voters must wonder how he could manage an actual problem if he turns into an absolute manbaby at the most minor of hiccups
Can you think of the leader of any other country where that would slide? I mean, not even Boris would have been that crass. Even keeping it within the States, is there a past president who would have?
It really made me think of elderly flashers, who act that way because they have degenerative neurological disorders associated with age.
Yeah I mean let's not resort to pearl clutching. Look at the guy in the replies doing the "groomer" routine and ask if you want to be that guy.
It's just a joke, the kids who were in the audience (and probably shouldn't have been) will be fine.
There are many things to insult Trump for, no need for this ridiculous Puritanism. Personally the overt racism bothers me a lot more than a blow job joke that a kid would probably not even get
Latest Selzer poll, regarded by pollsters as the gold standard, shows Harris +3% over Trump. An earlier assessment gave a scale of what various Trump leads over Harris might mean - if he led her by 11% it would predict a decisive victory for him, with lesser leads meaning not quite as strong a victory, down to a Trump lead of only 3% predicting a strong showing for Harris. Harris leading Trump is literally off that scale and predicts a Harris landslide.
Are you talking about nationally, the recent Iowa poll, or something else? Because Trump has never won the national popular vote but still made his way into office
Looks like the Iowa poll, as in of Harris had a real lead on Iowa of all places, there's no chance for him in swing states.
However there's just no way, in anyone's fever dream, that Iowa would go for Harris, so we have to assume there's some freak anomaly rather than anytime to count on or predict how things are going.
Weird because the last time I looked at fivethirtyeight's simulated election outcomes based on polling data it was 51:48 Trumps favor and now its 52 for Trump
It's been a polling aggregate since at least before the 2016 election. There is also 270towin which showed a clear Trump victory in their No-Tossup-Polling map until a few days ago, now it shows a tossup because PA polled so evenly.
Then there is betting odds for the US Presidential election, all of which favor Trump by a landslide:
Keep in mind that the more wrong these betting odds are, the more money they will lose, so there is monetary incentive for them to be unbiased.
I'm going to be real with you all. I'm scared of whats about to happen. The only way I would predict a Harris victory is if a huge wave of undecided voters appeared who are outside of the polling target audience. E.G. Generation Z, the elderly who rely on Medicaid, Disabled or Impaired, Hispanics, and others en masse.