The race is significantly tighter than in 2016, at least per the polling. Mostly, people are excited because its such a vast improvement from the Biden polls that had Trump winning in a landslide.
But folks on Lemmy don't realize how hard-in-the-paint rightwing talk radio is currently going for Trump. The degree to which "Haitian migrants eating your dog!" and "Venezuelan terrorists have seized a condo in Colorado!" rhetoric has inundated the discourse can't be overstated. People are taking this shit seriously and sincerely thanks to the breathless bombardment of migrant panic stories crashing over the news networks like a tsunami.
If I didn't know better, I might suspect there's a collaboration among arch-conservative megadonors and media organizations to saturate news networks with this fearmongering. I can't think of any instance in which a news network spewing anti-immigrant sentiment to whip locals into a panicked frenzy has ever happened before, or what the consequences were, but I'm sure that's not what is happening this time and even if it is everything will be fine.
Thank the deregulation of the 80's and 90's, coupled with the internet making it easier than ever to access anything and everything.
It used to be that spreading falsehoods or political bias on network TV or the airwaves via radio could get your station's license revoked by the FCC. But Reagan killed the Fairness Doctrine, and with that out of the way, there were no barriers for Rush Limbaugh and similar ilk to make more money by saying whatever kept the hyper-conservative, over-religious pearl clutches tuning in.
Do Americans even realise that in other countries that isn't north korea or russia, the president or representative of the country isn't treated like a popstar?
Of course we do. The problem is that those that understand are drowned out by loud incoherence of holding on to the past. If you have ONE thing you disagree about it's over. There is no more of an intelligent discourse. It turns into a sling fest of who is more right and we all lose.
Hillary Clinton won the popular vote in 2016. Donald Trump was illegitimately placed into power by a corrupt and broken electoral system. That was the real stolen election. Same with Bush v Gore.
The Republicans have won the presidency three times this century, but have only won the popular vote once, on George W. Bush’s second campaign in 2004. The Electoral College screwed us over in 2000 (Bush vs Gore) and 2016 (Trump vs Clinton).
The Deomocrats have also won the presidency three times this century, but also carried the popular vote every time they did. (Also, every time they won, Joe Biden has been on the ticket…)
Yes and No. Yes she won the popular vote, by close to 3 million, but No not in the “swing states” that had been considered “safe”. A margin of 10,000 votes in Wisconsin Michigan? Something like that. Anyway, part of that was Democrats seeing she’s a shoo-in and not bothering to vote.
This latest number comes from Decision Desk’s final tally of Pennsylvania’s votes, where Trump won 2,961,875 votes to Clinton’s 2,915,440, a difference of 46,435 votes. Add that to the official results out of Wisconsin, where Clinton lost by 22,177 votes, and Michigan, which she lost by 10,704 votes, and there you have it: 0.057 percent of total voters cost Clinton the presidency.
Electoral College is absolutely the Fuckery Factor though, that's true.
Yeah, by less than 3 million. 2016 was the biggest presidential punt of all time. Think of how different the world would be now if she hadn't taken that victory for granted.
I said this a ton for the 2020 election, and will scream it until my lungs give out for this one...
...anything other than vote for Harris is a vote for the orange turd. And with the crap they've already passed coupled with the shit that's been leaked...there is a good chance that if she doesn't win this may be the last free election
You're making it sound like one of the candidates wants to dismantle the american quasi-democracy and rule as a dictator, where on earth did you get that idea?
What, just because one of the candidates has loudly and proudly proclaimed that they indend to start their term by ruling as a dictator?
And because that same candidate has said "In four years, you don't have to vote again, we'll have it fixed so good you're not going to have to vote."?
Hillary wasn't focused on the electoral college, she cared about beating Obama's vote totals to "prove" she should have beat him. So she prioritized the popular vote when campaigning, causing idiots to think she was going to win. Because normally if popular is that high. It's implied battlegrounds are safe too. Because that's the metric that matters and what campaigns should be focusing on.
Hillary just skipped caring about battlegrounds, went straight to popular, and declared that made her winner...
Like, statistically the NFL team that wins the Super Bowl is the one that scores the most touchdowns. But if one team scores 1 TD and the other gets 17 field goals, the team with the most TDs lost.
She focused on correlation, not causation.
Because of that trump became president.
Blame anyone dumb enough to give a shit about a national poll a week out from an election. Then realize a lot of Clinton's 2016 campaign people are inexplicably now running Kamala's campaign and the DNC.
We need to get rid of all those people who haven't understood American politics for decades, they're just the only other option besides trump so it still works despite them sometimes.
But they clearly have no idea what the fuck they're doing.
That was apparent to my unqualified eyes. You could see it where she was campaigning. Trump was all over contested states. She stuck to the sure things.
She was the candidate and made the final call but a lot of people work on a presidential campaign. There was plenty of blame to go around but she didn't personally make all those decisions. Certainly not alone...
Hillary wasn’t focused on the electoral college, she cared about beating Obama’s vote totals to “prove” she should have beat him.
She came up about 8M votes short from Obama's big 2008 win. If she'd been aiming for that high bar, she missed it by miles.
Ironically, it was Biden who cleared it handily (with Trump coming in at historic-high second place) in 2020 thanks to mail-in voting boosting turnout nationally by nearly 20M votes. Of course, both parties immediately shut that shit down, lest Americans get used to the idea of convenient, accessible popular voting. The Trump/Biden Post Office under DeJoy has been dismantling the very idea of mail-in voting for the last four years.
I suspect 2024 turnout will be significantly lower across the board.
We need to get rid of all those people who haven’t understood American politics for decades
I totally disagree. We could use a lot of new blood, with people who aren't resigned to the cynicism of the bi-annual election cycle. The folks who don't simply submit to the psychic pressure of this heavily propagandized and chronically demoralized election waves are exactly the kinds of people who could break it.
Trump's biggest triumph in 2016 was bringing out conservatives who had otherwise never voted. People who were too depressed by the duopoly to show up came out in droves during the GOP Primary to support their Big Wet Boy. That kept Ted Cruz out of the White House (which I'd argue would have been far worse for the country in the long run) in 2016.
Sander almost replicated the feat against Hillary that same year, but got kneecapped by a media that was hostile to the very idea of Socialism. But if you want any kind of progressive change in America in your lifetime, you need to see Democrats undergo the kind of change that the GOP has undergone, but from the left.
You need more people who aren't consigned to voting Joe Biden mechanically every four years, even as he's falling apart in front of your very eyes. You need more people who want to shake up the party establishment and vote out the rotten incumbents. You need people who actually believe what these candidates are saying, rather than accepting a basket of lies at face value and shrugging when the candidates fail to deliver.
But we can't go into 2030 with a population of voters who just accept the status quo as the best they'll ever do.
Comey is from an era where upholding institutions was considered paramount. In that moment, that’s what he was trying to accomplish and he felt that it was in the nation’s greatest interest to do that.
Obviously it backfired. Comey is not a fan of Donald Trump and he later said that he was likely subconsciously influenced by Clinton’s win was a near-certainty.
He shouldn’t be criticized for his attempt at being impartial and promoting transparency.
Even if he broke DoJ policy to reveal Clinton was under investigation, and didn't mention that Trump was also under investigation? He should have done either both or neither.
"Get out to vote" is a direct instruction. It means you personally should go and vote.
"Get out the vote" means you should get everyone else out to vote. "Vote" is being used as a mass noun that you want to make as large as possible -by getting it out and making sure people turn up.
If you live in a swing state, or can temp relocate to a swing state, and want to get paid for progressive outreach (who really has the luxury to volunteer? Not me..) Check out https://www.theoutreachteam.net/jobs
I’ve worked with them in 2020 and presently. That link doesn’t give me any bonuses, but they do have recruitment incentives if you have friends to get involved. Pay is decent, and they offer insurance on day 1. It’s obviously a limited term contract, but if you need funds, it’s a great way to get income and make a difference at the same time!
In fairness, it’s basically on-demand campaigns. So it probably depends very very heavily where you are. I looked though the reviews.
Admittedly their onboarding could be better, but it’s fast (2 days from interview to start), just during any given campaign season most people are learning for a while, the campaign swells ahead of the Election Day and then almost everyone goes back to whatever else they were doing. They do have a core HR team to handle important stuff like getting paid.
And yeah, canvassing is long hours, but it is still well paid for what they ask of you.
I already know how this will pan out. Trump will lose the popular vote but get the electoral college - or at the very least claim to.
The fact that even polling is so close is tremendously disappointing. In 2016 people could claim ignorance on how a Trump presidency would play out. No one has that excuse in 2024 anymore.
I pray for the US of A but I'm afraid the battle was already lost long ago. All of this is just for optics. Illusion of choice and all that.
Has not only the linked voter registration check, but also has important dates, polling locations and hours, and other information.
Polls open Oct 21-Nov 1, with one final day to vote on Nov 5. If you don't want to wait in a line, don't put off voting until the last day. Polls will be open at least 9 hours the first week of voting and at least 12 hours during the second week and final day of voting!