Where differences occurred, they were especially large on three broad types of questions: Items that asked the respondent to assess the quality of their family and social life produced differences of 18 and 14 percentage points, respectively, with those interviewed on the phone reporting higher levels of satisfaction than those who completed the survey on the Web.
Questions about societal discrimination against several different groups also produced large differences, with telephone respondents more apt than Web respondents to say that gays and lesbians, Hispanics and blacks face a lot of discrimination. However, there was no significant mode difference in responses to the question of whether women face a lot of discrimination.
Web respondents were far more likely than those interviewed on the phone to give various political figures a “very unfavorable” rating, a tendency that was concentrated among members of the opposite party of each figure rated.
Statistically significant mode effects also were observed on several other questions. Telephone respondents were more likely than those interviewed on the Web to say they often talked with their neighbors, to rate their communities as an “excellent” place to live and to rate their own health as “excellent.” Web respondents were more likely than phone respondents to report being unable to afford food or needed medical care at some point in the past twelve months.
ultimately, the legitimacy of the poll would depend on where they solicited their subjects in the poll. You're likely to get a far different answer with advertisements on Truth Social than you would with advertisements on, lets say, a palistinian-american subreddit. but that wasn't addressed in the report, so. we'll never really know.
Opt-in polling is so bad. It means you only get answers from people with strong opinions. They are polls where the results are shaped like a U instead of a bell curve so it rarely represents the actual 95 percentile.
I don't think it's opt-in in that way though. They have a pre-existing list of millions of pre-screened people and they're selecting a representative sample from that list. Fivethirtyeight ranks them fairly highly among other polls -- certainly high enough for this opinion poll to be considered accurate.
Israel is blocking aid organisations from buying food, water and medicine in israel and transporting it through the Ker Shalom crossing. Forcing everything through the extremely slow Egypt crossing which they are actively holding up. If they wanted to prevent weapon smuggle then they should love it going through Ker Shalom
I cannot think of a single possible explanation other than israel trying to starve Gazans and commit genocide. How are Americans this brainwashed?
This isn't limited to the US. What are Israeli citizens doing? Personally i think the US should just stay the fuck out of it and take back whatever stuff we can that we gave them. Cut off support and actively denounce, but they won't.
Actually 1/3 said it is genocide, 1/3 said it isn't, and 1/3 said they didn't know. Also, only1/3 of Americans saying this is a genocide isn't great, but it does represent a huge shift in opinion in a short time. Both our political parties support Israel, our news media doesn't cover Palestinians very sympathetically, and our education system tells a very favorable version of Israel's founding (most Americans don't even learn about the Nakba). I don't think criticism of Israel has ever been this mainstream (at least in my lifetime).
The problem is, before they wemt on that murdering spree, the western world pretty much ignored their plight, or maybe tutted when they chucked a rocket or two over the border. But any kind of "proper" political solution was flatly ignored. It's not a justification, but I have to say that I umderstand why that situation led to a "fuck it, let's just rampage" attitude. And look, they actually have a tonne of eyeballs and attention on their shitty situation (and shitty leaders), so maybe something will come of this. Palestinians are paying an exorbitantly heavy price for it, though.
Two wrongs don't make a right. A county based on abrahamic religion should know that. It just proves that they don't actually believe in their own religion and only hide behind it whenever it's convenient for them, like saying anybody who disagrees with them supports Hamas.
You mean paid by Israel to pretend to be a terrorist so they would have an excuse to wipe away the final remnants of the war they have been fighting for about 80 years?
I'm not going to comment on whether or not Hamas' attack was genocidal, because even if they meant it to be, I just don't they have the capability. but like... Israel is bombing fucking hospitals and refugee camps inside the strip. That's not how you go about "avoiding civilian casualties".
the only side worth supporting here are the civilians caught in the middle.
I think that shows that this is not the issue that is going to really hurt Biden. What will hurt him is if the economy for the average person hasn't improved by election day. And I doubt it will. So I sure as fuck hope he doesn't lose to Trump.
this is not the issue that is going to really hurt Biden
That's not my reading of the poll:
35% say it is, 36% say it isn’t, with 29% undecided.
Almost half of those surveyed aged 18-29, 49%, say Israel is committing genocide, with 24% disagreeing and 27% uncertain.
The figures are broadly similar for registered Democrats, who believe 49%-21% in the genocide characterization, while 30% are undecided.
Half of all young people and half of all Democrats believe it's a genocide, with more undecided than disbelieving. Those numbers are not likely to get better as the IDF kills more Palestinians.
Biden's not likely to pick up republican votes based on this issue, but he is quite likely to drive down youth and democrat turn out by being out of touch with his base.
No, unfortunately, this issue is now actually going to hurt Biden. Opinions are shifting much more rapidly than expected, but unless it's overwhelming, he's in a no-win scenario. The best hope at this point is that opinion continues to change rapidly, and Biden follows suit. But even that's only damage control. Too many are against Israel's genocide to ignore, and too many are pro-Israel's genocide to ignore. Either way he's going to lose votes.
He could have threaded the needle by still supporting Israel , but stopping arms shipments and funds. But here we are. I still think he can steer the ship, but, yeah, he’s gonna lose votes. On the bright side, Trump’s numbers among Republicans are depressed too.
If that headline said one third of Americans don't believe Israel is commiting genocide which is also an accurate from the results it would set a very different tone.
Consider how out-of-touch vast swathes of Americans are on foreign affairs, or even on domestic affairs, and it's pretty reasonable IMO. I suspect a major chunk of the people answering this don't even know that anything significant has changed in the past few months and this "genocide/not-genocide" answer is just based on their vague general knowledge of the usual Israel/Palestine interaction.
Frankly, I think 1/3 answering "genocide" sounds positive to me. That's enough to perhaps make some politicians think "maybe I can't wholeheartedly throw complete support behind Israel and not have to worry about it having an electoral impact this time."
I'm guessing there are people who know it's a genocide, support it because it's a genocide, but won't call it a genocide for various reasons.
Some of them may even be Republicans. The ones I've seen mostly scream accusations and abuse if you say that Democrats shouldn't be supporting genocide.
1500-2000 is fine. They use random sampling and weighting. A larger sample size would decrease the margin of error but wouldn't significantly alter the results. A margin of error of +/-3.1% is fine for this kind of snapshot of public opinion.
They are certainly celebrating this mass delusion in Iran. I guess they figure Russia managed to fool the US into authoritarianism, why shouldn't Iran take a turn?