Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

Their model is saying what's been apparent from eyeballing polls for a while: the election is close.

Trump has taken the lead over Harris for first time in 538 forecast.

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Trump Takes Lead in 538 Simulations

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Anyone who heard that epic speech by President Word Salad over the weekend would agree:

electrocution is better than shark attack.
- Amazingly, some of the marine conservation folks put out a serious response
- Agree that dropping a battery into the ocean is safer than swimming with sharks.
  
  Who would you rather unexpectedly run into while swimming in the ocean, a maga or a shark?
"I'm going to have to hear Biden's opinion of sharks with laser beams versus electrocution before I make up my mind" Because insanity.
Polls are for pundits.

Vote in November.
Trump is favored? We've gone hollow.
Polls.
- Poles

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