politics @lemmy.world mozz @mbin.grits.dev 4mo ago

Donald Trump's chances of winning election slump after RNC speech

www.newsweek.com Donald Trump's chances of winning election slump after RNC speech

The odds of Donald Trump securing victory over Joe Biden in November have lengthened from 2/5 on Thursday to 8/15 on Friday, according to William Hill.

I have no idea about William Hill. But the odds they describe sound about right to me, and the Nate Silver thing and the summary of Trump’s speech sound informative

inb4 BIDEN COPIUM HAHAHA etc and etc

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As encouraging as this may sound, it doesn't change anything. VOTE!
- If voting were sufficient then we wouldn't be in this mess.
  
  So yes, do vote, but you have to do more than that, too.
  
  If your vote didn't matter, try wouldn't be trying to make it harder (or blocking efforts to make it easier).
  
  VOTE
  
  Please do explain how the necessity of further action "makes it harder to vote".
  
  If people are so pathologically demand-avoidant that asking them to do more than just vote makes them stop voting then yelling at them to vote isn't going to help either.
  
  I think they are talking about Republican efforts to limit voting access, not that doing more than voting makes it harder.
  
  I've come to really like the saying "voting is the least effective form of civic engagement"
  
  This isn't true ime
  
  Which part?
  
  The fact that most people aren't pathologically demand avoidant?
  
  The part where you imply that asking someone to vote and asking them to do much more are equivalent
  
  Of course they aren't, and I've got no idea how you managed to take that from my post. XD
  
  Maybe the part where you said that if asking them to do more than vote won't work, then asking them to vote won't work either?
  
  Please point out where I said anything like that. XD
  
  I'm too lazy man just read your own comment it was like 3 sentences
  
  I've basically given up worrying about federal politics; I STILL VOTE IN FEDERAL ELECTIONS, but it's clear they're too solidly captured by special interests to do much there. I've shifted my focus to local/municipal politics and found a lot more success there.
  
  Correct opinion.
- Yup the idiots will still vote for him no matter what happens. Aliens could pop out of his skull and claim they've been operating him all along to destroy the earth and they'd still vote for him.
  
  He could perform an abortion on live TV and his ratings would skyrocket.
  
  "Hahaha, take that, lib fetus!"

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