If by "paragliding" you mean thousands of drug fueled antisemitic "Palestinian" Arab Jihadis invading Israel to rape and murder 1200 Israeli citizens, and take hundreds as hostages back to gaza where those who weren't murdered outright are still held today, in the single worst loss of Jewish lives since the Holocaust, then yes, that's exactly what precipitated where Syria finds itself today
But otherwise you’re mostly right; Iran/Hamas set the stage for the Israeli overreaction, Hezbollah attacking the north in ‘solidarity’ and Iran loosing their chess pieces, whilst Russia was bled out in Ukraine and distracted.