Last week, more than 400,000 people visited a link posted on Instagram by pop star Taylor Swift that directed them to their state's voter registration site.
Although Swift noted that she would be voting for the Democratic candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, people don't have to declare a party affiliation when they register and neither vote.orgnor Swift track registrations by party.
love how they felt the need to point out that Taylor Swift, the pop star, does not track voter registrations by party lol
But I remember 2016. When all the nice neighbors, friends, co-workers, teachers, hell the delivery guy - all deliberately chose chaotic evil. Despite everything.
Remember, this is two electoral contests we have to win. The first one, obvs, and then when the MAGA Qanuts start screaming and cheating like motherfuckers. THAT is the one we need all hands on deck for because there’s no framework, no precedent for it. And in a lot of states the officials are primed and ready to destroy Democracy for their demented, flatulent, rapist god-emperor.
This all suggests that the polling has A LOT of volatility... We really won't know where the fuck national or state level margins will be like from here on out.
At this point we just need to get people to register before the looming deadlines and then start turning out the vote.
Polling got way harder after everyone ditched land lines. Nate Silver went from near perfect handicapping in 2008/2012 to abysmal predictions from 2016 onward.
I genuinely wonder how polling is going to recover. Pollsters are having to rely more and more on the few remaining landlines, online polls of questionable quality, and the rare millennial who is willing to answer calls and texts from unknown numbers. To make up for it, they have to pile on more and more assumptions from things like demographics data.
I don't see any of these factors changing any time soon, and unless pollsters figure out ways to work around them without compromising the quality of their work, they're kind of fucked.
They make it as difficult as possible for anyone not in the male-rich-white categories, it's intentional. Last election in 100F Georgia they declared handing out water to people in line was political influence and illegal.
If the right wing is trying to take away your vote, you know they're scared of you voting.
Meanwhile, I get a voter card in the mail automatically when I am eligable to vote in in an election, if I want to prevote or vote by mail I can do that, and if i want to change my prevote or mail vote, I can go to the polling office on election day and vote again.
This will mean that my pre/mail vote will be discarded and destroyed unopened when it is noted that I have voted on election day.