America has just gifted China undisputed global dominance and leadership in the 21st-century green energy technology transition - the largest industrial project in human history.
The new US President has used his first 24 hours to pull all US government support for the green energy transition. He wants to ban any new wind energy projects and withdraw support for electric cars. His new energy policy refused to even mention solar panels, wind turbines, or battery storage - the world's fastest-growing energy sources. Meanwhile, he wants to pour money into dying and declining industries - like gasoline-powered cars and expanding oil drilling.
China was the global leader in 21st-century energy before, but its future global dominance is now assured. There will be trillions of dollars to be made supplying the planet with green energy infrastructure in the coming decades. Decarbonizing the planet, and electrifying the global south with renewables will be the largest industrial project in human history.
Don't worry, they'll just impose tariffs to China so China will bankrupt because the american market is the greatestest ever in the universe and everyone and their mother needs to sell their goods to them or they will go bankrupt too.
They genuinely think that other countries will be paying the extra cost for the privilege of trading with the USA.
Completely refuse to believe they have to pay the extra cost out of their own pocket or the company will sell elsewhere.
Edit to add, these in-law's also think China is still mostly like their media-based perception of feudal Japan. As in "they only have two modern cities, Beijing and Tokyo" type of "knowledge" of China.
The US is just 16% of Chinese exports. Any tariff disruption will be made up for many, many times over by being OPEC of 21st century renewable energy to the rest of the world.
It is not going to be the OPEC of the 21st century. The important part with oil, is that you need to buy more of it ones it is burned. With most green technologies, the products last decades. So any country being cut off can just work on developing their own. Obviously there are more countries then China and the US as well, which also have green technology companies.
Yes the industry is massive, but there are also a lot of other countries in the world. Europe for example is trying to retool its car industry for EVs. Danish Vestas is the largest wind turbine manufacturer in the world and German-Spanish SiemensGamesa is the second largest. Japan and South Korea are strong in the battery manufacturing industry.
That is not to say that this is not scary to see Trump hurt the US economy this badly, but it is what the Americans have voted for.
I can only hope that we in Germany wan't do the same mistake. Renewable energy is cheaper by now and it would be a huge economic failure to dismiss this.
Yes, the US political system is now even more corrupt than before. At least the Democrats were making some effort, and I'm sure blue states like California still will.
If it takes your house 12 hours to burn down or a week...
What's the difference? The house is still actively burning down for that week.
Is it better? Yeah, but not enough to motivate people to fight for the week. If the choice was "burn down in 12 hours or not" then Dems would win every election because that's a very easy choice for people.
But the reason we don't get that choice is the same reason Kamala became pro-fracking:
Neoliberals care more about donations than votes. And fossil fuel corporations pay a lot in bribesdonations
The crude oil production record in the United States in 2023 is unlikely to be broken in any other country in the near term because no other country has reached production capacity of 13.0 million b/d. Saudi Arabia’s state-owned Saudi Aramco recently scrapped plans to increase production capacity to 13.0 million b/d by 2027.
trumps gonna break it just for the reason that Biden broke his last record.
Out of sheer pettiness he's going to make it worse, and fossil fuel corporations will jump at the chance to expand
I keep forgetting how everything that happens in the US is because something the president did.
It's not like the collective west has made a collective effort on the issue either, but where the EU has (finally) seen renewables as a way out of oil dependence, the US is some ways off.
It will be a big issue, though. Countries are going all electric for transportation, China (25% of world car market) is estimated to be at 57% BEV 20250, surpassing most European countries.
In the end, it is about strategic autonomy in the energy sector. Something which hasn't been possible before, but it is now. And Europe is feeling that squeeze and look everywhere for solutions.