2024 Presidential Election Megapost!
2024 Presidential Election Megapost!
Edit 11:55 PM Pacific
Kentucky (8), Indiana (11), West Virginia (4), Florida (30), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Alabama (9), Mississippi (6), Oklahoma (7), Arkansas (6), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (5*), Wyoming (3), Louisiana (8), Texas (40), Ohio (17), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Utah (6), Idaho (4), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), North Carolina (BG-16), Georgia (BG-16), Pennsylvanya (BG-19) called for Trump.
Vermont (3), Connecticut (7), District of Columbia (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Delaware (3), Illinois (19), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Colorado (10), California (54), Washington (12), Oregon (8), Virginia (13), Hawaii (4), New Mexico (5), New Hampshire (4), Minnesota (10) for Harris.
2 counties in PA have extended voting hours due to voting machine problems. 9:30 PM in one, 10:00 PM in the other.
Multiple precincts in Georgia have extended hours due to bomb threats.
Edit 03:09 PM Pacific Harris wins Guam.
This thread is for the Presidential election, my plan is to start marking wins as soon as they are called, sorted by time zone.
Some states are going to take longer than others. Polls generally close at 8 PM local time, but they can't start counting early/mail in votes until after the polls close.
Wisconsin in particular has an interesting system where ballots are collected by MUNICIPALITY, not precinct, they have over 1,800 ballot counting locations and don't report until ALL 1,800 are in.
https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2024/10/22/wisconsin-voters-election-milwaukee-security-denier
Currently 232 EC votes from Blue States:
4+19+10+7+3+3+4+10+11 +4+14+28+4+3+13+54+12 +10+5+8+6
42 EC votes from Battleground States:
10+15+11+6
NC called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.
GA called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.
PA called for Trump. -19 here, +19 to Trump.
Which leaves 264 EC votes in Red States.
9+6+6+6+8+6+10+5+3+7 +3+40+30+11+8+17+9+11+4+3+4+4+3+16+16+19
270 to Win.
Online map here!
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God this hurts to watch right now. There's too many data points to comprehend but too few for commentators to tell me the trend.
I'm multi-screening about five different media sources and am letting you know that The New York Times just updated its live presidential forecast to predict a 67% chance of a Trump victory.
The day started out with the NYT in a toss-up position, but as the count has continued, it has started to slowly creep towards Trump.
Let's remember that many votes are yet to be counted and that in 2016, this same tracker at The New York Times was predicting a Clinton victory with 95% certainty.
So far, no real surprises.
Just gonna put all my stuff under this comment so I don't spam this thread.
The Australian Broadcasting Commission's live blog is pretty great:
Predictably, musk is pushing the "voter fraud in pensylvania" narrative.
Thousands of accounts on social media platform X have been sharing this video as evidence of the "fraud" in Pennsylvania.
But the footage is actually an old and widely debunked video of election workers in Arizona that was filmed in 2022 ahead of the US midterms.
Reuters has previously reported that what the video actually shows is a "routine procedure to install memory cards into voter machines".
Despite this, the video has already been viewed hundreds of thousands of times and reposted extensively.
More women fewer men
Also younger voters:
- 18-29 +3%
- 30-44 +2%
- 45-64 -4%
- 65+ -1%
The ABC's map is pretty good (live map):
