Guardian analysis suggests Harris underperformed compared with 2020 – but in the states that mattered most it was Trump’s gains that won him the White House
Summary
The recent U.S. election saw a significant Democratic underperformance, with Kamala Harris drawing 1.4 million fewer votes than Joe Biden in 2020, while Donald Trump gained 1.1 million additional votes.
Nationally, Democrats lost more votes than Republicans gained, but in key swing states like Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, Trump’s gains outpaced Harris’s losses, securing his victory.
In many counties, Democratic votes dropped sharply even where Republican gains were modest.
Higher turnout in swing states, driven by Trump supporters, was a crucial factor in his win.
In a way Trump's vote stayed flat too. He didn't get that many votes more than last time. Meaning he does have a hard ceiling. Problem was that Harris received less votes in certain segments than Biden, mostly men.
I don't think so. The total number of votes didn't change much, but it isn't like the exact same people from 2020 came out for him again. He made massive gains in black and Hispanic voters, for example, so his base isn't necessarily capped yet.
His voters might answer a poll that they like the Dem agrees with trump now, but they'll never vote D.
Chasing them just pisses off actual Dem voters, which leads to them not voting.
It's literally the same as Charlie Brown trying to kick that fucking football. Except in this case our lives hinge on making a fucking field goal, and someone pays Charlie Brown to keep letting Lucy hold the ball and pretending to be surprised.
I have yet to get a positive on this...Does anyone know anyone that sat this election out personally? I'm not judging, I just want to hear someone say yes.
Yep, talked to an old coworker from GA the day before. Got "neither party will help me". Doesn't take the threat from Trump seriously. I won't be talking to that person again.
I kept getting the internet stories regurgitated at me rather than first hand knowledge. It's statistically unlikely out of the 50-100 Democrats I know, none of them sat this out. It's 1 in 7 by last count, I should know someone...