75% chance. The Guardian piece here:
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jun/16/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-eugenics-scientific-racism
Reportedly contains many factual errors:
See https://x.com/ohabryka/status/1802563541633024280?t=8IhUv03x6PKq_r5MwLbPuA&s=19
Resolves yes if one or mo...
WE DEMAND A CORRECTION TO uh various minor nitpicks
also we swear we totally didn't get your email
bonus from thread:
I am having a lot of fun on Manifold, but if the team insists on inviting eugenics speakers to conferences, its probably time for me to leave :-/
What exactly is your objection to people exercising their bodily autonomy to implement voluntary eugenics?
There really is a difference in professional ethics guidelines, though. Matt Levine used to work at Goldman, he totally always sides with financialization, and for that matter everyone at Bloomberg is paid by Mike Bloomberg, but they still have professional guidelines preventing them from most trading.
But betting? There’s being an insider and then there’s profiting, and aren’t most journalists prohibited from trading or betting on their covered areas?
Aren't prediction markets an attempt to turn insider trading into a productive part of society (or whatever the libertarians who love prediction markets conceptualize as society.)