Revolutions don't happen because there's too much suffering. Revolutions happen when people think there's no other way to force change, and when they think they can win.
It will get worse domestically. But this will not contribute to any uprising. In fact, it very likely will make it harder.
If you look at the French revolution, sure, there was suffering.
But look at who took over when the revolution had taken the heads of the monarchy. Was it the peasants who had waved pitchforks? Was it bollocks. It was a bunch of nobles who were sick of their lot under the old regime.
Revolutions happen when wannabe new leaders instigate them. Hordes of angry people are a force to be reckoned with, but without leaders they ain't organising shit. They're a tool for takeovers.
The bourgeoisie, rather than nobility, and the peasants were largely reactionaries; it was the urban proletariat which provided the enthusiastic manpower of the Revolution.
But yes, I agree. Organization and leaders make revolutions.
Revolutions don’t happen because there’s too much suffering
That's because the people in charge (historically speaking) have made sure that not enough universal suffering happens to create a revolution. This administration is a new kind of special, and I wouldn't count it out.
That’s because the people in charge (historically speaking) have made sure that not enough universal suffering happens to create a revolution.
Bruh, I can point you to some very universally-suffering societies, both modern and historical, which did not provoke revolutions; and every revolution I can think of was very far from universally suffering, compared to prior or later conditions.
Suffering is only marginally related to revolution, at best.
both modern and historical, which did not provoke revolutions; and every revolution I can think of was very far from universally suffering, compared to prior or later conditions.
Suffering is only marginally related to revolution, at best.
I'll make a note that you are an expert in revolutions and move on with my life.
I think most people thought that "the" line was crossed at some point several lines ago, but when there wasn't an obvious consensus that "the" line had been crossed at that particular time, people kept looking around and waiting for others to say that "the" line had been crossed. That's how we've all allowed it to get to such an insane point. We're all waiting for a revolutionary instead of being the leader we need. I don't think any of us feels qualified and capable.
Thats the string holding it all together imo. The majority of people still feel secure enough in their next week of meals, let alone next four. Yeah they cost more, yeah food pantries usage are trending up so much that it threatens their stocks of food, but the foods still there and obtainable for most. Many of us who see the writing on the wall are ready for whatever but we can't simply start shooting and hope things get better.
Well sure for now,but your seen the price of eggs,Healthcare, transportation, education, Internet and about dozen other things,prices for food is already going up,how long will take? By the way,I don't think revolution is the answer,j think politicians need to grow some back bones. Give aoc or burnie a chance.
We have cities full of poorly armed people who are on the edge of readiness. Then, we have thousands of miles of rural country with a sparse number of well-armed people who are quite happy with the turn of events.
Nearly all news coverage is now directly/indirectly state-controlled. Nearly all social media coverage is directly/indirectly state-controlled.
We're seeing protests come up around government buildings, but it's barely a pittance.
The people who would need to start the coup are poorly armed and largely reluctant to be violent; they're also not ready to give their lives for the cause. The people who are against any form of coup are well-armed and would LOVE to go in guns blazing.
The inklings of resistance are present. They'd need someone to organize and lead them,
Another concern I have is, historically, you have a coup, the military is called in to take it out, they refuse, and a new government is installed with their blessing. What happens when, instead of the military getting called in and refusing, the old government hires private industry to put guns on drones and starts murderbotting protestors? Tech isn't like it used to be. They don't need to get their hands directly dirty anymore or risk any of their own lives.
I'm not certain you could have a revolution against well funded oligarchs dug into a country.