We regret to inform you that Ray Kurzweil is back on his bullshit
We regret to inform you that Ray Kurzweil is back on his bullshit
The Google futurist talks nanobots and avatars, deepfakes and elections – and why he is so optimistic about a future where we merge with computers
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Re: Personal worn jewelry like watches, rings, pins and earrings will monitor body functions and have GPS
Yes gps devices existed before 1999. I had a CF GPS for my Nino. If you use those devices as what his intention was when he wrote about wearable tech, it's not a prediction so it is a fail.
Mmhmmmm, okay, well I guess you don't know about Garmin.
The Garmin foreRunner, a smart watch, developed in 2003 integrated user physical performance, fitness and GPS.
Paaass
But the book was written in 96 right? Wait, nope, earlier.
1999 is after 96 right?
The book the list of predictions is from was written in 1999.
He has written many books. He became famous because his earlier book was so accurate. Then Moore's law died which caused all his predictions for technology after 2005 to be very off because the huge compounding effect of Moore's law stopped.
Don't know how you're all so confused about this, but getting correct for a decade she's then technology changing didn't mean his prediction was incorrect.
It means he was correct, and then technology changed again.
Also, and this is going to blow your mind, Moore's law?
Not a prediction by kurzweil.
Fairly irrelevant except as a touchstone example given to tech-illiterates to understand how fast computing power increases
Most of his predictions he made in 1999 for 2009 were wrong. We have been through the list. You gave up rebuttals.
He didn't foresee the change in speed technology improvements which is why his predictions failed.
Why would you think Moore's law was Kurzweil's idea? It's called MOORE'S law.
He based his predictions on Moore. He referenced Moore's law many times and extrapolated.
We've already established that that decade that you tried to debunk is over 80% correct.
So you're off there.
We've gone through the list and you've been wrong on every point. You showed a picture of 1989 style goggles as proof of a prediction in 1999 that there would be eyeglass ar by 2009.
You used a 1997 palm pilot with mechanical buttons as evidence for a 1999 prediction that by 2009 people would be using computers with no mechanical input.
You were unaware that Dragon Dictate with full voice recognition and control was sold in 1997. This was 2 years before Kurzweil predicted voice input would be available by 2009.
You didn't provide any example of highway self driving by 2009 or smart road sensors to enable that self driving. There were already basic road sensors in the early 90's and nothing new by 2009.
You would self evaluate yourself that 1x1 = 1 is correct just like Terrance Howard.
Nope, you've set incorrect parameters and made incorrect assumptions.
That doesn't mean that kurzweil was wrong, that means that your parameters and assumptions are incorrect.