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TempermentalAnomaly @lemmy.world
Posts 42
Comments 340
Shit libertarians say.
  • Is the distinction more than pedantic?

    Edit: I get the connotation that being hung means your dong is admirable. But in terms of the past tense of hang, both hanged and hung seem to be valid options such as in "I hung the laundry". And the alternative, "I hanged the laundry" sounds wrong. So pendantry?

  • Michelle Obama Is Only Democrat Beating Trump in New Post-Debate Poll – And It’s by A LOT
  • It is most certainly not a small sample size. It's what allows for a margin of error of ±3.5%* at the 95% confidence level. Here's a graph of the margin of error vs sample size for 95% confidence interval.

    With an 11 point margin, there's a clear separation of the upper limit bar for Trump and lower limit bar for Obama. For a single poll, assuming the rest of it was well designed and executed, this is an important spread. And the reasons are obvious if you look at the report. She's able to get 10% more Democratic support and 20% more independent voter support.

    Ipsos is a high quality polling company. They don't make rookie mistakes like sample size. There may be other reasons beyond my reasoning that make this a bad use of polling, but sample size is not it.

    * The source incorrectly reported the margin of error for the full survey, both registered and unregistered participants.

  • Useful idiot
  • A list crypto-Trumpists:

    • The New York Times: "If the race comes down to a choice between Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden, the sitting president would be this board’s unequivocal pick. That is how much of a danger Mr. Trump poses. But given that very danger, the stakes for the country and the uneven abilities of Mr. Biden, the United States needs a stronger opponent to the presumptive Republican nominee. To make a call for a new Democratic nominee this late in a campaign is a decision not taken lightly, but it reflects the scale and seriousness of Mr. Trump’s challenge to the values and institutions of this country and the inadequacy of Mr. Biden to confront him."
    • David Remnick of The New Yorker: "For him to remain the Democratic candidate, the central actor in that referendum, would be an act not only of self-delusion but of national endangerment. It is entirely possible that the debate will not much change the polls; it is entirely possible that Biden could have a much stronger debate in September; it is not impossible to imagine that Trump will find a way to lose. But, at this point, should Biden engage the country in that level of jeopardy? To step aside and unleash the admittedly complicated process of locating and nominating a more robust and promising ticket seems the more rational course and would be an act of patriotism. To refuse to do so, to go on contending that his good days are more plentiful than the bad, to ignore the inevitability of time and aging, doesn’t merely risk his legacy—it risks the election and, most important, puts in peril the very issues and principles that Biden has framed as central to his Presidency and essential to the future."
    • The Economist: "There are a lot of arguments for resisting such a drastic step, but the main one is that the election is barely four months away. That may be enough time for Mr Biden to recover in the polls. But with the Democratic convention in August, it would be too brief for the party to find another candidate who could campaign and win. Replacing him could divide Democrats at a time when they need to stay united. Those assertions may have been convincing once. Not any more."
    • Chicago Tribune
    • The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

    You're underplaying the severity of his failure. All of these publications understand what you're saying. Every single one of them know that creating uncertainty now is risky, but in their calculations, it's worth it. I, ultimately, think they are wrong, but calling them part of the Trump campaign just has to be something only someone trying to win internet points would say.

    I'll end by quoting Steve Bannon Pod Save America co-host Jon Favreau, "Anyone who says this is easy or that we shouldn't have this debate is not being honest."

  • Okay, Biden isn’t popular. But his policies sure are.
  • This quote from the article really hits home:

    Afterward, his aides would try to explain that he had been sick. He had seen two doctors before the debate. He had a fever, a virus. He wasn't himself.

    But while he may have been sick, he was himself. That was the problem.

  • Is my girlfriend gaslighting me? (Edit: No, she is not gaslighting me, but may have some other issues.)
  • You're using rationality to defend your behavior instead of connecting emotionally around a fundamentally emotional issue. This doesn't mean that her behavior was justified either, but rationality will only get you so far in solving this problem. Arguably, there's an intimate and emotional reason you're together. If you're both not engaging in protecting and growing that first, then you'll end in a you vs her situation.

  • 'It's a mess': Biden turns to family on his path forward after his disastrous debate
  • I can't think of worse debate performance. Nixon profusely sweating? Pretty bad, but at least he was coherent.

    Mondale not being able to counter Regan's age deflecting quip? Damn. That's so tough one when the crowds turned.

    The Gore eye roll? Well damn that sucks.

    But this was a debate long fugue state. At best, some Trump previous incoherent ramblings are close, but still not as bad.

    This was seriously bad. And everyone failing to see that and trying to minimize it is attempting and failing to gaslight everyone else.

    There maybe no replacement available, but at least call a spade a spade.

  • Newborns fucking suck
  • It gets better.

    I remember things getting noticably easier every doubling starting at three weeks. So it was three weeks, then six, then three months, then six, then one year and two... And that was basically when I stopped needing to count.

    At around 6 months, things got easier for us. We got better at everything, he got better at, well, being alive, I guess. And we as a routine that mostly worked. Still had a long journey in raising a baby, but it got easier.

    I don't know when the independence came around, but not before six months. You situation might be different. If you have family, lean on them. Get some sleep. Snuggle your wife.

    Seriously, if you can, get someone to tag in once in a while. It's a grind.

  • Who is a character you feel is overhated and despised too much ?
  • Uncle Iroh
    I know he's a genocidal war criminal, but he lost his son and traveled a long path of tea and paisho eventually cherishing and mentoring his nephew.

    Uncle Ruckus
    He's a simple man, tryin’ to make his way in the world. Life’s dealt him a tough hand, but he played it the best he could. He worked hard, respected the values he was raised with, and tries to bring a bit of order to this chaotic world. He ma be rough around the edges and may not make words so good, but he believes in tough love and speaking his mind.

  • things you can only do with boys
  • I was talking about collective trauma which OP was citing, though their initial term is collective PTSD.

    Why would you use n-gram and not journal search engine like Google Scholar. There seems to be an engagement in the concept of collective PTSD since about 2007.

    Is this an area of research or practice for you? It is not mine.

  • A fence that casts piano key shadows
  • First, you don't have to, it's a useful convention.
    Since the middle ages, the west has used a seven note scale with five whole steps and two half steps. This gives one scale, c major, with seven natural (neither flat nor sharp) notes.

    As an aside, I believe there are six note scales.

  • How have your opinions on media you once enjoyed changed over time? Are there movies or shows you used to find funny but no longer do?
  • Man... I remember having fond memories of it. Plus, sort of a Christmas flick. So come winter break, I turn it on for my eight year old. I get to cooking dinner and about 45 minutes in, he's shaking from it. He slept in our room for the first time in years that night. And the next night. And the next.

    Literally just told his mom he's still scared of gremlins. This will be one of the parenting regrets.

  • Biden stung by student loan legal loss days before taking effect
  • Income based repayments such as SAVE calculate your payments as a percentage of your disposable income. This means it can be as low as $0 per month if you happen to be unemployed for even a short time. Interest still accrues, but doesn't capitalize with SAVE. This can result in a "significant" balance.

  • katu.com On the upswing? Downtown Portland grows and invests, sparking optimism

    Is Portland turning the corner?That's the question many people have asked and debated over the past few years, from kitchen tables to the office to the campaig

    On the upswing? Downtown Portland grows and invests, sparking optimism
    0
    apnews.com Israeli nationalists march through Palestinian area of Jerusalem, some chanting 'Death to Arabs'

    Thousands of mostly ultranationalist Israelis are taking part in an annual march through a dense Palestinian neighborhood of Jerusalem’s Old City.

    Israeli nationalists march through Palestinian area of Jerusalem, some chanting 'Death to Arabs'
    40

    The Days of the Fuck Up Boots Will Once Again be Upon Us!

    Usually it's Friday night... Sometimes I go out Thursdays though.

    4
    www.kptv.com Massive fire contained but continues to burn at wood recycling plant in N Portland

    Big plumes of smoke filled the sky in North Portland as a two-alarm fire burned at JOPP Energy off North Lombard Street.

    2
    www.oregonlive.com Multnomah County DA candidate Nathan Vasquez tells voters man ‘murdered’ 4 women even though he has not been charged

    Nathan Vasquez referred in his statement in the Oregon Secretary of State Voters’ Pamphlet to the case of convicted felon Jesse Lee Calhoun, 39, though he did not identify Calhoun by name.

    Multnomah County DA candidate Nathan Vasquez tells voters man ‘murdered’ 4 women even though he has not been charged
    1
    www.oregonlive.com Rene Gonzalez, candidate for Portland mayor, pitches more punitive approach to homeless campers

    Gonzalez, a current city commissioner, is floating a measure that would immediately ban homeless camping citywide, should the U.S. Supreme Court and Oregon Legislature do away with current restrictions.

    Rene Gonzalez, candidate for Portland mayor, pitches more punitive approach to homeless campers
    8
    www.oregonlive.com Is an end in sight for Portland’s long tradition of parent fundraising for their own children’s schools?

    Portland Public Schools parents will no longer be able to raise money to pay to add educators at their own children’s schools, under a proposal that the district’s school board is poised to approve.

    Is an end in sight for Portland’s long tradition of parent fundraising for their own children’s schools?
    0

    Who are the swing voters in America? | The Economist

    www.economist.com Who are the swing voters in America?

    We interrogated a dataset of 49,000 people to find out

    Who are the swing voters in America?

    cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/14210696

    > > The two percentage points of vote share that Mr Trump has gained since 2020 come from three sources. The largest group is people who supported Mr Biden last time, but are now undecided, backing minor candidates or not planning to vote, who outnumber those making the same shift from Mr Trump’s camp. These voters account for 0.9 points of Mr Trump’s two-point improvement. Undecided former Biden voters are slightly younger, more likely to be black or female and less likely to have attended college than repeat Biden voters. > > > > Mr Trump also enjoys an edge among people entering or returning to the major-party electorate. The share who say they did not vote for either him or Mr Biden in 2020 but have now settled on Mr Trump is 3.7%, slightly above the 3.3% who are choosing Mr Biden. This group adds another 0.3 of a point to Mr Trump’s tally. > > > > The final group, swing voters, is the smallest but also the most impactful. Because people who flip between the two major-party candidates both subtract a vote from one side and add one to the other, they matter twice as much as do those who switch between a candidate and not voting at all. Such voters are rare—just 3% of respondents fall into this category—but Mr Trump is winning two-thirds of them. With 2% of participants shifting from Mr Biden to Mr Trump versus just 1% doing the opposite, swing voters contribute a full percentage point to Mr Trump’s two-way vote share. > > ! > > > The most intriguing pattern in YouGov’s data, however, is probably an equally powerful factor that has nothing to do with ideology. Compared with committed partisans, swing voters are vastly more likely to have children aged under 18: 47% of those flipping from Mr Biden to Mr Trump and 40% of those switching the other way are currently raising children, compared with 22% of repeat Biden voters and 19% of consistent Trump ones. And once the effects of race and parenthood are combined, the disparities are striking.

    1

    Preview Post and Spoilers

    When writing a comment, you can preview it. I didn't see this feature when making a post.

    Also, spoiler markdowns weren't rendering in Boost when I tried using the menu insertion. I've seen other posts and comments with spoilers, so I'm not sure what's happening.

    2

    Who are the swing voters in America? | The Economist

    www.economist.com Who are the swing voters in America?

    We interrogated a dataset of 49,000 people to find out

    Who are the swing voters in America?

    > The two percentage points of vote share that Mr Trump has gained since 2020 come from three sources. The largest group is people who supported Mr Biden last time, but are now undecided, backing minor candidates or not planning to vote, who outnumber those making the same shift from Mr Trump’s camp. These voters account for 0.9 points of Mr Trump’s two-point improvement. Undecided former Biden voters are slightly younger, more likely to be black or female and less likely to have attended college than repeat Biden voters. > > Mr Trump also enjoys an edge among people entering or returning to the major-party electorate. The share who say they did not vote for either him or Mr Biden in 2020 but have now settled on Mr Trump is 3.7%, slightly above the 3.3% who are choosing Mr Biden. This group adds another 0.3 of a point to Mr Trump’s tally. > > The final group, swing voters, is the smallest but also the most impactful. Because people who flip between the two major-party candidates both subtract a vote from one side and add one to the other, they matter twice as much as do those who switch between a candidate and not voting at all. Such voters are rare—just 3% of respondents fall into this category—but Mr Trump is winning two-thirds of them. With 2% of participants shifting from Mr Biden to Mr Trump versus just 1% doing the opposite, swing voters contribute a full percentage point to Mr Trump’s two-way vote share.

    !

    > The most intriguing pattern in YouGov’s data, however, is probably an equally powerful factor that has nothing to do with ideology. Compared with committed partisans, swing voters are vastly more likely to have children aged under 18: 47% of those flipping from Mr Biden to Mr Trump and 40% of those switching the other way are currently raising children, compared with 22% of repeat Biden voters and 19% of consistent Trump ones. And once the effects of race and parenthood are combined, the disparities are striking.

    8
    montavilla.net NE Halsey Lane Reconfiguration Underway

    On April 8th, road painting crews begin work to reconfigure NE Halsey Street between 68th and 81st Avenues. Truck-mounted equipment scrubbed the existing travel lane markings from asphalt while wor…

    NE Halsey Lane Reconfiguration Underway

    This was the most exciting traffic to sit in yesterday. I knew it was coming, but surprising it was already happening. I almost hit a person going westbound coming down from the 84/82nd overpass and into the unlit, blind curve. He left his shopping cart and saved himself. But the next car behind me had to sweep into the opposite lane. Thankfully, no one was on the road.

    Now there'll be a traffic calming circle and crosswalk. Hopefully, they add some street lamps and a flashing light for when people want to cross. !Halsey Street Safety Project

    Fingers crossed that they do something for the 205/84 exchange overpass. That light at 92nd is like people are lining up for a drag race.

    0

    The 38 Essential Restaurants and Food Carts in Portland | Eater ... Get them angry comments ready!

    pdx.eater.com The 38 Essential Restaurants and Food Carts in Portland

    The city’s most astounding restaurants, food carts, bars, and more

    The 38 Essential Restaurants and Food Carts in Portland

    Wow... So many Eastside joints. Not complaining, but surprised nonetheless. With so many great spots to get a bite, its not surprising if they left something off the list. I was surprised to not see Apizza Scholls. Its been a while since I've been, but I always consider them to be pizza royalty. And then choosing Rose VL over Ha VL is odd to me. But cool. Who do you they left off?

    0
    usa.streetsblog.org Boondoggle: Oregon Highway Widening Gets 'Reconnecting Communities' Cash — Streetsblog USA

    The US Department of Transportation just awarded $450 million to the $1.9-billion Rose Quarter 1-5 project, which opponents have long called one of America’s most-notorious highway boondoggles.

    Boondoggle: Oregon Highway Widening Gets 'Reconnecting Communities' Cash — Streetsblog USA

    >The highway cap is not the reason this project is so expensive. The real expense comes from doubling the width of the existing highway — something that ODOT has gone to great pains to conceal. The existing roadway is 82 feet wide, and ODOT's plans — which were not revealed publicly, but which we obtained via a public records request — show that the agency plans to nearly double the width of the highway to 160 feet along much of its length. In some places, it will roughly triple it to 240 feet. > >Instead of disclosing the massive highway expansion, though, ODOT instead claims that it is merely adding "one auxiliary lane" in each direction to the existing four-lane freeway, and calling for wide inside and outside shoulders that can be easily be re-striped into travel lanes once the project is built (which can be done without additional environmental review under FHWA regulations, by the way). > >The agency also claims that this widening-by-another-name will result in no increase in road capacity, and that therefore there won't be any additional traffic on I-5. But ODOT's own traffic count data predicts that traffic will grow from about 120,000 today to 142,000 per day in 2045 – a 18-percent increase

    0

    The polls are suggesting a huge shift in the electorate. Are they right? | Politico

    cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/14025725

    > > It’s a significant reversal from recent history: President Joe Biden is struggling with young voters but performing better than most Democrats with older ones.

    11

    The polls are suggesting a huge shift in the electorate. Are they right? | Politico

    > It’s a significant reversal from recent history: President Joe Biden is struggling with young voters but performing better than most Democrats with older ones.

    77
    apnews.com Portland, Oregon, schools and after-school program sued after a 9-year-old girl is allegedly raped

    A young girl and her guardian are suing an Oregon nonprofit organization, Portland Public Schools and Multnomah County for $9 million.

    Portland, Oregon, schools and after-school program sued after a 9-year-old girl is allegedly raped
    2
    pdx.eater.com Here Are Oregon’s 2024 James Beard Award Finalists

    Chefs behind Lovely’s Fifty Fifty, Kann, and MÄS move forward alongside restaurants and bakeries from the state

    Here Are Oregon’s 2024 James Beard Award Finalists
    0