11/17/2023 Estimated DRS count: 76,070,216 ((using today's DRSbot total + fix inadvertent DRSbot offline or resets) x 4.175)
The 4.175 multiplier comes from 8/31/2023 Form 10-Q divided by DRSbot 8/31/2023 total: 75,400,000 / 18,059,540 = 4.175
Bloomberg data (to 9/11/2023), DRS estimated counts, and other:
Holding
Number of shares
As of
ETFs
29,138,064
9/8/2023
MFs, Index Funds, Pension Funds, etc
33,999,059
9/8/2023
Other Institutional Ownership
32,373,815
9/8/2023
Insiders Stagnant
14,339,510
9/8/2023
Insiders
38,540,578
9/11/2023
DRS'd - 200k Computershare accounts
76,070,216
11/17/2023
Non-DRS - 200k acct 25% stuck in IRA
19,017,554
11/17/2023
Other
61,762,498
11/17/2023
Total Outstanding on 8/31/2023 and 10/12/2023: 305,241,294
Thank you to lawsondt for the Bloomberg data to 9/8/2023.
"Non-DRS - 200k acct 25% stuck in IRA" is a conservative percentage. The Google share count surveys have suggested the 200k Computershare accounts have 30-40% additional shares stuck in IRAs.
"Fix inadvertent DRSbot offline or resets" is primarily whale #1's 1,388,490 DRS shares. Long story of switching subs and losing their DRS share count. So added the "fix inadvertent" column to capture their DRS shares.
Discussion points:
It seems "odd" on some of the DRS count fluctuations since the beginning.
It seems "odd" on recent DRS count stagnating (excluding the Mainstar rugpull of 1.27 million shares). From a very simplistic view assuming 200,000 Computershare accounts:
Buy X number of shares a month
Multiply by 3 months per quarter
Total DRS per quarter if 100,000 active accounts
Total DRS per quarter if 200,000 active accounts
1
3
300,000
600,000
2
6
600,000
1,200,000
3
9
900,000
1,800,000
4
12
1,200,000
2,400,000
5
15
1,500,000
3,000,000
The April 2023 List of stockholders DRS numbers seem correct and line up with SEC filings.
Possible some investors have had to un-DRS.
Possible economic slowdown has reduced investor purchasing power.
Whale investors who helped inflate DRS numbers alot, have dramatically slowed down their purchasing.
Tinfoil - possible there have been forces inflating and draining their DRS shares, spread across say 3,000 accounts to make it seem like normal activity.
Tinfoil - possible something funny with SEC filing reported number.
I can’t wait for the next quarters report of drs numbers. Another data point. I bought near 2000 shares in this window. Couldn’t resist. Price was to good.
I'd say there's been a pretty remarkable down turn. Less posts on Reddit. Less engagement. It's been going on for years and most will have some level of fatigue. You've got COVID, high inflation and just general life admin coming into play
Anecdotally I've completed stopped buying gme for last 6 months. Can't buy when trying to get a home loan approval. I'll probably start again in the new year.
Plenty will have accumulated what they think is enough and others will probably just tire.
Interesting that new comers don't keep up the push though.