Why young male voters in deep blue Philadelphia like Trump: ‘Almost punk in a way’
Why young male voters in deep blue Philadelphia like Trump: ‘Almost punk in a way’
Joe Biden has been losing support with young voters. Some young men in Philly, meanwhile, cite inflation, immigration, and “the Democrats becoming so cringe,” as reasons for sticking with Trump.
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Researchers who study the youth vote downplay some of the recent surveys showing the split among young voters. Voters under 30 are less aligned with either party but remain more progressive than voters overall, and polls show they tend to align more with Biden than Trump on issues.
When Dems cater to the youth vote, Dems get elected.
When Dems take the youth vote for granted and feel entitled to their votes, republicans usually squeak out a victory.
This isn't trump gaining, this is Biden fucking up.
sadly, there's just no way to actually get the youth vote.
that's why "youthquake" is such a meme in politics - it will never happen.
Except for what Bill and Obama did...
You know, pretending to give a shit an actually trying for their vote...
Just because Hillary and Biden are openly antagonistic towards anyone under 60, doesn't mean every politician has to be. But I swear to good people treat 12 years ago like it's ancient history.
Yup, Obama took his election in a landslide by appealing to progressive youth, his messaging about hope and change gets memed on now but that's what people actually want and he was convincing.
He of course betrayed them once elected and delt massive damage to the party establishments credibility, but the principle works if you're trying to win elections as a democrat. These days voters are more conscious of how the truth is revealed in the campaign finances, so fancy speeches and empty promises from corporate dems playing at being progressive don't get you as far. Gotta be the real deal these days, people have been super jaded.
2018 had +4% more voters under 50 years old than 2022.
While 2004–08 had the highest number of younger voters, it also peaked in every age group in terms of turn out by roughly the same amount (+10% ish) except the 60+ dynamic who have shown a steady increase over 40 years with no decline as opposed to all others that have declined since 2012.
18-30 year olds turned out the most at roughly 48% for Obama, but have never broken 50%, all other age groups have never dipped below 50%, with 45+ year olds never dipping below 62% (all numbers - of voting age citizens who voted)
What you're ignoring is those elderly demographics keep shrinking and this cycle the majority of voters will be under 40 years old
The age of the boomers is over, but the generation before them still won't stop controlling both parties and insisting that listening to 60 year olds is already enough compromise.
I'm not sure where you're getting the under 40 numbers, most polling pegs "youth" as 18-29, And the next bracket is under 45.
For my purposes I'm calling "young" voters under 30. I used the stats above to add context to show how under represented they are in comparison.