Very interesting video, basically the loss of foreign contracts make it hard to afford development, which will result in further loss of foreign contracts.
Unfortunately it probably won't help Ukraine much, because it's a development over time. But after the Ukraine war, it's unlikely Russia will be able to achieve previous levels of weapon manufacturing, because Russian economy simply isn't big enough to do it alone, and exports will dwindle.
What might help Ukraine a bit though, is that weapons exports are not generating much foreign currency for Russia already.I highly recommend to see the video, if this sort of thing interest you. Which is seeing things from a statistical economic perspective.
PS: Just out of curiosity, can anyone tell me what the accent is?
Perun's Australian. He's done a long series of Powerpoint presentations (mostly on the Ukraine war), works in defense economics.
If you haven't seen his other videos, I'd call them definitely worthwhile.
Thanks. 😀
Thanks for the summary
I'm not an expert for arms or any military issues, but just read an analysis by a scholar claiming that 'Russia Exhausts Soviet-era Arms Storage Bases'
The Russian armed forces have been taking Soviet-era arms out of storage as a solution to its dwindling supply of weapons despite these reserves being limited.
As Russian arms stores decrease, Russia could finally be defeated in the war in the foreseeable future if the West commits to continued and scaled military assistance to Ukraine.
Perun talked about that two weeks ago (https://youtu.be/nQLI8xnINqk?si=fh-d-WXtQAEBXsi7, 64min).
If I remember correctly, the gist is that Russia can keep this up for a while, but the quality of the equipment is going down, not up. And in two years or so they will run out.And here is another related video (https://youtu.be/bJK5NYxGNOQ?si=z_8zYB0bMqqsxD0Y, 11min).
Basically the same message. Russia is at an advantage right now, but the West can catch up, if we want to.
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