Barbashin says Russia’s leaders expect Trump to issue ultimatums to both Kyiv and Moscow: if Volodymyr Zelensky balks at peace terms, the US will sever all military aid; if Putin drags his feet, the US will up the military ante and carpet-bomb the Russian economy.
I do not believe for one second that Trump will issue any ultimatums to Putin. Even if he does, there's zero chance he would follow through on any threats to Russia.
I feel like we have a better chance of Trump giving Russia military aid than of seeing Trump making any demands of Putin, let alone "carpet-bombing" their economy. Does this author forget that Putin is the Dad Trump wishes he had, and he would do anything to have Putin feign respect for him.
Putin will give a Trump a list of demands. The demands are likely exclude complete dealbreakers such as surrendering Zaporizhzhia and Kherson (I am from Ukraine, this doesn't seem viable).
Trump will go with putin's demand; his plan will be to come back to the US public and say "I stopped the war" even though he essentially submitted to putin.