That's going to jump again when Apollo quits working on Reddit, if they don't back down on this API thing. It's going to be an exodus, probably break the internet (so to speak).
As much as I want this to be true, I can't see this mass exodus happening. Everyone will have their own line to draw (mine was the api changes, so... Hi, I'm new here) but I find reddit to be more of a 'if you build it they will come' type of platform like netflix or amazon. It doesn't matter if what you built was based on stepping on everyone and everything you can to get ahead. It was built, they will come.
Of those who use third party apps I would how many will refuse to use the official reddit app as a result start transitioning into non contributing lurkers given how terrible the browser experience is too on mobile.
Thing is people that use Apollo and other 3rd party Reddit apps really love their interface. Personally I do everything on a laptop/desktop so I'm not familiar with those apps. I don't do much on the phone other than text/voice. Though I have tried to access Reddit through Chrome mobile and it's pretty much unusable. Their in-house app is not much better from what I understand.
Since Reddit's API pricing is going to wholly drive away 3rd party apps, I think it's going to come down to Lemmy's apps versus the Reddit in-house app. From what I understand the bar is pretty low so Lemmy just needs something that works decent.
Jerboa for Lemmy isn't bad, and it already has more features than it did when I joined a week ago, so I think it'll keep improving. I also know that at least a few refugees have posted that they're working on apps for Lemmy, too, and basing them on their preferred 3rd party app for Reddit. There won't be a lack of good options for Lemmy apps.
Any Apollo refugees like me, I’ve heard MLEM is good but beta appears to be full currently. I downloaded beta for Memmy today and it’s pretty good! Much better than the web interface on mobile and has Apollo’s similar swipe to upvote features.
I’ve been wondering about this, too. Honest question, do you really think there will be that big of a bump once the apps shut down for good? I feel like most people who are passionate enough about third party apps are already painfully aware of what’s coming, and those that would be willing to migrate have done so. I hope I’m wrong!