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현재 20∼30대가 미래에 내야 하는 조세 부담이 생애 소득의 40%를 넘어설 수 있다는 우려가 제기됐다.

31일 한국경제학회에 따르면 전영준 한양대학교 교수는 다음 달 1∼2일 서울대학교에서 열리는 ‘2024 경제학 공동학술대회’에서 이같은 내용을 골자로 하는 내용의 논문을 발표한다.

논문에서 전 교수는 ‘세대 간 회계’ 개념을 통해 각 세대의 생애 순조세 부담을 추계했다.

결과는 충격적이었다. 현행 재정 정책이 미래 시점 유발할 재정적자를 보전하기 위해서는 미래에 창출된 부가가치 총액, 즉 GDP 총액의 13.3%를 투입해야 하는 것으로 나타났다.

전 교수는 재정 위험을 초래하는 주요 원인으로 복지제도를 지목했다.

구체적으로 공적연금 재정에 4.2%, 기초연금 재원 조달에 2.3%, 건강보험에 4.0%, 장기요양급여 지급에 2.3%, 기초생활보장급여 지급을 위해 0.5%가 추가 조달돼야 하는 것으로 분석됐다.

전 교수는 2025년 조세부담을 상향 조정하는 시나리오를 반영해 세대별 순조세부담도 계산했다.

Concerns have been raised that the tax burden that people in their 20s and 30s will have to pay in the future could exceed 40% of their lifetime income.

According to the Korean Economic Association on the 31st, Professor Jeon Young-jun of Hanyang University will present a paper focusing on these contents at the ‘2024 Economics Joint Academic Conference’ held at Seoul National University on the 1st and 2nd of next month.

In the paper, Professor Jeon estimated the lifetime net tax burden of each generation through the concept of ‘intergenerational accounting’.

The result was shocking. It was found that in order to compensate for the fiscal deficit that the current fiscal policy will cause in the future, the total value added created in the future, that is, 13.3% of the total GDP, must be invested.

Professor Jeon pointed out the welfare system as the main cause of financial risk.

Specifically, it was analyzed that an additional 4.2% must be raised to finance public pensions, 2.3% to raise basic pension resources, 4.0% to health insurance, 2.3% to pay long-term care benefits, and 0.5% to pay basic living security benefits.

Professor Jeon also calculated the net tax burden by generation, reflecting the scenario of upwardly adjusting the tax burden in 2025.

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/11067778

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SEOUL, Jan. 4 (Yonhap) -- The Military Manpower Administration (MMA) said Thursday it has created a cyber investigation team to step up monitoring on those who attempt to evade mandatory military service and crack down on draft dodgers.

The MMA said the new team will look into those who post information on how to evade compulsory military service and individuals avoiding service through fraudulent screening and other measures. It is tasked with collecting and analyzing digital evidence.

Under a revised military service law, which goes into effect in May, those who post and spread information regarding draft evasion will be subject to up to two years in prison or a fine of 20 million won (US$15,270).