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RFK Jr. has a big primary problem: Democrats like Joe Biden | CNN Politics
Joe Biden’s approval ratings remain low. A majority of Democrats don’t want him to run for another term. But Biden challenger Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is more than 40 points behind the president in national Democratic primary surveys and there is zero sign Biden’s support is weakening.
This article skeptically interrogates data from recent polling. RFK Jr. supporters and various media outlets have reported that RFK Jr. has the highest favoribility rating among primary challengers in either primary. However, delving through the data shows that RFK Jr's primary source of support comes from the Republican electorate, which does not help him in a Democratic primary. Furthermore, among Democrats, Biden has a much higher favoribility rating than RFK Jr.
Apply skepticism to both Kennedy’s and DeSantis’s favorability ratings (archive link in post)
RFK Jr has been touting a high favorability rating from recent polls. This article breaks down that polling to show that this is not the good news that RFK Jr and his supporters believe that it is.
The polls show that RFK Jr receives his highest favorability rating from conservatives, Trump supporters, and Republicans, none of which helps RFK Jr. in the Democratic primary. Furthermore, the author explores that generally less known candidates have a higher favorability than more well known candidates, and that Kennedy also has a powerful political name. The Kennedy name is almost synonymous with liberal politics, and, as such, people who are familiar with the Kennedy name but not RFK Jr's history of far-right political claims and pseudoscience are more likely to endorse the candidate at this stage.