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Will there really be a big influx of users on the 30th?

I’ve seen many comments and posts regarding the API fiasco on Reddit, with the claim that there will be a huge influx of users when that happens. I’m all for it, but I find it hard to believe that the average or even above average user will make the effort to switch.

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  • I would imagine that most of the influx already happened and most people who care should be here (in the threadiverse) already. That is unless:

    1. unpurged accounts becoming [deleted] makes it more apparent those who left, and the scale/news of it
    2. quality drops like a rock due to mods and users who have left (also because of those who stay behind)
    3. the admins keep digging further
    4. there is a sizable chunk of people who for whatever reason haven't paid attention to the situation for a month, or haven't decided on an instance

    I would say something about continuing mod protests, but I think if they're not here already they are probably are just mad that it's happening and wouldn't switch.

    In any case I cannot see any of these causing an influx on the 30th or even on any timescale shorter than a week.

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