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I think it's too broad a question. How is conservative measured? State level? District? Past voting? Voter rolls?
I also imagine the type and level of crime matter. But there's also what isn't recorded.
Interesting question, though
I'm sorry about that. I'll try to make a question like that more specific next time.
Don't be sorry :) I'm sure different people would even argue about the definitions above. I lived in a super-left (comparatively and using US terms) neighborhood in a generally left city, in a generally left district in a state that mostly voted conservative. Depending upon the granularity (and definition of all the above terms), the results would play out rather differently. I'm a software engineer for a living so exercises a bit like this are something I do often