A) The only poll that matters is the one on Nov. 5th
and
B) Before that, the only people that you can poll are people who are fired up enough about their candidate to agree to participate.
A resigned, grudging, or "meh" vote for Biden would count just as much as a red hat wearing, sign displaying, rally attending Trump vote...but only one of those two cares enough about polling to participate in one before election day.
With Harris, I'm not so sure she will get that many more votes than Biden would have...but more of those voters are of the more motivated kind who will voluntarily participate in these polls.
It shouldn't even be a close race in the poll between Biden and Trump, much less between Harris and Trump.
I was watching Luke Beasley interviewing MAGA people at rallies, and the mental gymnastics is unbelievable. Like even if he can cherry pick who is shown on camera, people have the gall the deny the reality.
I'm extra mad that MAGA thinking is slowly making its way in Canada and our dumb people gobble that shit up.
It might just be my local area but democrats here dont answer random polls. They are treated as door to door salesman or phone scams, completely ignored.
They sometimes use ridiculous data thats completely wrong too. Ive had them text or leave a voicemail referring to me as: my wife, my mother in law, my father, my mother, as well as the past three families that lived at my address.
I just dont know what type of poll I would actually take, trust isnt given to strangers in these parts generally.